United States Senate election in Maine, 2012

United States Senate election in Maine, 2012
2006 ←
 November 6, 2012
 → 2018
 
Party Republican Democratic
U.S. Senator before election

Olympia Snowe
Republican

 Elected U.S. Senator

TBD
Elections in Maine

The 2012 United States Senate election in Maine will be held on November 6, 2012 alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Olympia Snowe is running for re-election to a fourth term.

Contents

Background

Incumbent Olympia Snowe won re-election to a third term in 2006 with 74.01% of the vote over Democrat Jean Hay Bright and independent Bill Slavick. Due to the unpopularity of some of Snowe's casted votes among some more conservative voters, namely for the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 and initial support of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, it is believed that she may face a competitive Republican primary from more conservative challengers in 2012.[1] The Tea Party Express has promised to aid in a primary against Snowe.[2] There has been speculation that Snowe will switch parties, though she has always denied this.[3][4][5] However, by June 2011, Snowe has officially entered her named with signatures to run in the Republican primary, saying, "she would never switch parties."

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Scott
D'Amboise		 Andrew
Dodge		 Olympia
Snowe		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) October 28-31, 2011 250 ± 6.2% 10% 7% 62% — 20%
Public Policy Polling (report) March 3–6, 2011 434 ± 4.7% 18% 10% 43% — 28%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Olympia
Snowe		 "More
conservative
challenger"		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) October 28-31, 2011 250 ± 6.2% 46% 47% — 6%
Public Policy Polling (report) March 3–6, 2011 434 ± 4.7% 33% 58% — 9%
Public Policy Polling (report) September 2–6, 2010 584 ± 4.1% 29% 63% — 8%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Olympia
Snowe		 Chandler
Woodcock		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) September 2–6, 2010 584 ± 4.1% 33% 38% — 29%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Declined

General election

Polling

with Scott D'Amboise

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Scott
D'Amboise (R)		 Matt
Dunlap (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) October 28-31, 2011 673 ± 3.8% 23% 31% — 47%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Scott
D'Amboise (R)		 Jon
Hinck (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) October 28-31, 2011 673 ± 3.8% 26% 25% — 49%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Scott
D'Amboise (R)		 Rosa
Scarcelli (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 36% 29% — 35%

with Andrew Ian Dodge

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Andrew Ian
Dodge (R)		 Matt
Dunlap (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) October 28-31, 2011 673 ± 3.8% 25% 30% — 44%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Andrew Ian
Dodge (R)		 Jon
Hinck (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) October 28-31, 2011 673 ± 3.8% 25% 27% — 48%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Andrew Ian
Dodge (R)		 Rosa
Scarcelli (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 33% 29% — 38%

with Olympia Snowe

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Olympia
Snowe (R)		 Matt
Dunlap (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) October 28-31, 2011 673 ± 3.8% 64% 22% — 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Olympia
Snowe (R)		 Jon
Hinck (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) October 28-31, 2011 673 ± 3.8% 65% 18% — 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Olympia
Snowe (R)		 Mike
Michaud (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) October 28-31, 2011 673 ± 3.8% 54% 37% — 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Olympia
Snowe (R)		 Rosa
Scarcelli (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 66% 18% — 17%

Three-way matchups

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Scott
D'Amboise (R)		 Rosa
Scarcelli (D)		 Olympia
Snowe (I)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 20% 15% 56% — 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Andrew Ian
Dodge (R)		 Rosa
Scarcelli (D)		 Olympia
Snowe (I)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 19% 13% 57% — 10%

See also

References

  1. ^ Toeplitz, Shira (November 10, 2010). "GOP senators see threat on right". Politico. http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1110/44963.html. Retrieved November 20, 2010. 
  2. ^ Peoples, Steve (February 10, 2011). "Tea Party Express Names Snowe as Its Next Moderate Republican Target". Roll Call. http://www.rollcall.com/news/-203309-1.html. Retrieved February 11, 2011. 
  3. ^ Gustini, Ray (November 10, 2010). "Will Olympia Snowe Switch Parties?". The Atlantic Journal. http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics/2010/11/will-olympia-snowe-switch-parties/22328/. Retrieved April 15, 2010. 
  4. ^ Moulitsas, Markos (September 14, 2010). "Right time for Snowe switch". The Hill. http://thehill.com/opinion/columnists/markos-moulitas/118787-right-time-for-snowe-switch. Retrieved April 15, 2010. 
  5. ^ Klein, Ezra (November 11, 2009). "Will Olympia Snowe switch parties?". The Washington Post. http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2009/11/will_olympia_snowe_switch_part.html. Retrieved April 15, 2010. 
  6. ^ Boyle, Matthew (September 13, 2010). "2012 Maine Senate contender plans to give Olympia Snowe a run for her money". The Daily Caller. http://dailycaller.com/2010/09/13/2012-maine-senate-contender-plans-to-give-olympia-snowe-a-run-for-her-money. Retrieved November 20, 2010. 
  7. ^ Blake, Aaron (February 11, 2011). "Tea partier Andrew Ian Dodge launches campaign against Snowe". WashingtonPost.com. http://www.sunjournal.com/state/story/954183. Retrieved February 11, 2011. 
  8. ^ Drucker, David M. (September 29, 2010). "Snowe Moves to Shore Up Right Flank for 2012". Roll Call. http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/republican-party/tea-partier-andrew-ian-dodge-l.html. Retrieved November 22, 2010. 
  9. ^ a b c d e Sobel, Julie (March 3, 2011). "Conservative Activist Not Ruling Out Snowe Challenge". National Journal. http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/03/conservative-ac.php. Retrieved March 4, 2010. 
  10. ^ Thiessen, Marc A. (November 9, 2010). "Snowe removal in 2012?". Washington Post. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/11/08/AR2010110803042.html. Retrieved October 10, 2011. 
  11. ^ "Dunlap to Challenge Snowe for Senate Seat". Maine Public Broadcasting Network. November 2, 2011. http://www.mpbn.net/News/MaineHeadlineNews/tabid/968/ctl/ViewItem/mid/3479/ItemId/18742/Default.aspx. Retrieved 3 November 2011. 
  12. ^ Carkhuff, David (November 12, 2011). "Hinck seeks to topple Snowe". Portland Daily Sun. http://portlanddailysun.me/node/30002. Retrieved November 14, 2011. 
  13. ^ Sullivan, Sean (April 25, 2011). "Is Olympia Snowe Vulnerable?". National Journal. http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/04/is-olympia-snow.php. Retrieved July 3, 2011. 
  14. ^ Riskind, Jonathan (January 1, 2012). "Dill considering U.S. Senate run". Portland Press Herald. http://www.pressherald.com/blogs/maine_washington_politics/136529028.html. Retrieved 2 January 2012. 
  15. ^ a b c Peoples, Steve (January 4, 2011). "Maine Democrat Considering Challenging Snowe". Roll Call. http://www.rollcall.com/news/-202039-1.html. Retrieved January 10, 2011. 
  16. ^ Catanese, David (December 29, 2010). "Scarcelli: Snowe challenge may depend on primary". Politico. http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/1210/Scarcelli_Snowe_challenge_may_depend_on_primary.html. Retrieved December 29, 2010. 
  17. ^ Riskind, Jonathan (April 17, 2011). "Re-election trouble for Snowe? Hardly". Portland Press Herald. http://www.pressherald.com/news/re-election-trouble-for-snowe_-hardly_2011-04-17.html. Retrieved July 3, 2011. 
  18. ^ Du Houx, Ramona (December 14, 2011). "Rep. Emily Cain will run for State Senate". MaineInsights.com. http://maineinsights.com/perma/emily-cain-will-run-for-state-senate. Retrieved 2 January 2012. 
  19. ^ Peoples, Steve (November 29, 2010). "Maine Mystery: Snowe Tea Party Rival?". Roll Call. http://www.rollcall.com/news/-200953-1.html. Retrieved November 30, 2010. 

External links

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